Not "the creatinine is a bit up". A graded, dose-dependent, independently-adjudicated predictor of death and of the next decade of kidney disease.
Koyner Ch 6 · Ronco Ch 13 · AKI-EPI 2015 · Kellum JASN 2015 · See KI 2019
Incidence and the dose–response with death
57.3%of ICU patients, week 1 (AKI-EPI)
21.6%pooled, hospitalised adults
5–11%receive KRT
51.1%mortality, stage 3 on both axes
KDIGO stage
Adjusted OR, hospital death
Read it as
Stage 1
1.68, p = 0.11
Not significant after adjustment
Stage 2
2.95, p = 0.005
The inflection point
Stage 3
6.88, p < 0.001
Independent of APACHE
The honest caveat
Cross-sectional, first ICU week — prevalence, not incidence. Rest "mild AKI kills" on duration, not on stage 1.
Hoste EAJ et al. Intensive Care Med. 2015;41:1411 (AKI-EPI) · Susantitaphong P et al. Clin J Am Soc Nephrol. 2013;8:1482 · Kellum JA et al. J Am Soc Nephrol. 2015;26:2231 · Koyner Ch 6
The bill arrives after discharge
Outcome after AKI
Pooled HR (See 2019)
New or progressive CKD
2.67
ESKD
4.81
Death
1.80
Graded by stage — and the risk persists when Cr "normalises"
Highest after dialysis-requiring AKI; repeat episodes compound it
+86% CV mortality, +58% heart failure, +40% acute MI
Only ~5% of survivors ever see a nephrologist
What your discharge summary must carry
Peak stage, cause, KRT, and the baseline used
Nephrotoxins stopped — when to restart RASi/SGLT2i
Cr + urine ACR at 3 months
Named follow-up: stage 3, KRT-treated, unrecovered
See EJ et al. Kidney Int. 2019;95:160 · Odutayo A et al. J Am Soc Nephrol. 2017;28:377 · Koyner Ch 6, 51 · Ronco Ch 23, 29
02
Definitions, staging & phenotype
Twenty years of consensus criteria built on two indirect, confounded signals — and the 2026 attempt to fix them.
Bellomo R et al. Crit Care. 2004;8:R204 · Mehta RL et al. Crit Care. 2007;11:R31 · KDIGO AKI Work Group. Kidney Int Suppl. 2012;2:1–138 · Chawla LS et al. Nat Rev Nephrol. 2017;13:241 · KDIGO 2026 AKI/AKD public-review draft, March 2026 · Koyner Ch 5
KDIGO staging — the language of the unit
Stage
Serum creatinine
Urine output
1
1.5–1.9× baseline, or ≥0.3 mg/dL in 48 h
<0.5 mL/kg/h for 6–12 h
2
2.0–2.9× baseline
<0.5 mL/kg/h for ≥12 h
3
≥3.0× baseline, or Cr ≥4.0 mg/dL, or any KRT
<0.3 mL/kg/h ≥24 h, or anuria ≥12 h
Key point
Stage on the higher axis — but prediction is best when both are used.
Two staging traps
The ≥4.0 mg/dL route still needs an acute rise — stable CKD 5 is not stage 3. Starting KRT is stage 3 by fiat.
KDIGO AKI Work Group. Kidney Int Suppl. 2012;2:19–36 · Kellum JA et al. J Am Soc Nephrol. 2015;26:2231
Staging arithmetic at the bedside
Bedside numbers
Actual wt 118 kgIBW 72 kgBaseline Cr 0.9Day 2 Cr 2.1UO 480 mL / 12 h
Needs 24–72 h to reach a new steady state — early injury is invisible.
Dilution
+10% total body water lowers Cr ~10% with no change in GFR.
Production
Sarcopenia, liver failure, sepsis cut generation. "Normal" 0.6 in cachexia can be GFR ~40.
Interference
Trimethoprim, cimetidine, cobicistat block secretion — Cr rises, GFR unchanged.
Kinetic eGFR
Uses the rate of change plus volume of distribution — the only creatinine tool honest on day 1.
Cystatin C
Muscle-independent; creatinine–cystatin C CKD-EPI 2021 is the most accurate. Confounded by steroids and inflammation — no free lunch in sepsis.
Chen S. J Am Soc Nephrol. 2013;24:877 (kinetic eGFR) · Inker LA et al. N Engl J Med. 2021;385:1737 · Koyner Ch 5, 16 · Ronco Ch 25 (functional biomarkers)
Poll 1 · staging under uncertainty
62 F, ICU day 3 after emergency laparotomy for perforated diverticulitis. No pre-admission bloods anywhere in the system. Admission Cr 2.6 mg/dL → today 1.9 mg/dL. She has received 9 L of crystalloid and is +7.5 kg. UO 0.45 mL/kg/h (IBW) for the last 14 h. Albumin 2.1 g/dL, CK 180 U/L.
A. No AKI — creatinine is falling · B. Stage 1 by urine output only · C. Stage 2 by urine output, and the falling creatinine is dilutional · D. Back-calculate a baseline from eGFR 75 and stage on that
Vote, then defend your answer in one sentence
KDIGO 2012 §2 (definition & staging) · Kellum JA et al. J Am Soc Nephrol. 2015;26:2231 · Koyner Ch 5
Transient, persistent, AKD, CKD — one continuum
0–48 H
Transient AKIReverses ≤48 h; usually haemodynamic
→
>48 H
Persistent AKIPersists after haemodynamics corrected; biomarker-positive
→
7–90 D
AKDAKI criteria, or GFR fall >35%, or Cr rise >50%
→
>90 D
CKDGFR <60 or damage beyond 3 months
AKD is commoner than AKI — it catches the "creeping creatinine" patient
Recovery is undefined; the 3-month creatinine is the fair one
Renal angina = risk × injury — who deserves a biomarker
Why the phenotype beats the stage
"Will this reverse?" drives every real decision. "What stage?" drives none.
Chawla LS et al. Nat Rev Nephrol. 2017;13:241 (ADQI 16) · Levey AS et al. Kidney Int. 2020;97:1117 · James MT et al. JAMA Netw Open. 2019;2:e191795 · Goldstein SL, Chawla LS. Clin J Am Soc Nephrol. 2010;5:943 · Koyner Ch 5, 51 · Ronco Ch 22
Predicting who progresses: scores, stress tests, biomarkers
Furosemide stress test — a functional read-out
Furosemide 1.0 mg/kg IV (1.5 if loop-exposed); replace losses mL-for-mL. 2-h UO <200 mL predicts stage 3. Euvolaemic patients only.
n = 77. 2-h UO <200 mL predicted stage 3: AUC 0.87, sens 87%, spec 84% — ahead of NGAL.
BigpAK-2 · Lancet 2025
n = 1176 post-surgery. KDIGO bundle cut stage 2–3 AKI at 72 h: 22.3% → 14.4%, NNT 12.
Chawla LS et al. Crit Care. 2013;17:R207 · Rewa OG et al. J Crit Care. 2019;52:109 · Zarbock A et al. Lancet. 2025;406:2782–2791 (BigpAK-2) · Meersch M et al. Intensive Care Med. 2017;43:1551 (PrevAKI) · Koyner Ch 7, 16
03
Mechanism & etiology
The three-compartment framework still works — provided you remember that the ICU patient has three compartments failing at once.
Koyner Ch 5, 8, 36, 40 · Ronco Ch 11, 18, 39, 45
Three compartments, one patient
Prerenal ~30%
Hypoperfusion without structural injury. Diagnosable only in retrospect.
Intrinsic ~60%
Tubule, interstitium, glomerulus or vessel — overwhelmingly acute tubular injury.
Postrenal <10%
Small in numbers, large in consequence — and the only fully reversible compartment.
The mechanistic list that actually helps
Drop the three buckets for parallel mechanisms: haemodynamic · microcirculatory · endothelial · thrombotic · inflammatory · toxic · congestive · obstructive. Name every one that is running.
The commonest consult error
Naming one cause and stopping. Sepsis plus hypovolaemia plus vancomycin plus IAP 20 is the modal ICU patient — each addend has a different fix.
Koyner Ch 5 (Table 5.3, pathophysiologic mechanisms) · Uchino S et al. JAMA. 2005;294:813 (BEST Kidney: sepsis in ~50% of severe ICU AKI) · Ronco Ch 11
Prerenal physiology — autoregulation and where it breaks
Kidney takes ~25% of cardiac output; GFR autoregulates over a textbook MAP range ~80–180, shifted right by HTN, age, CKD
Nephrotoxins — the compartment you can actually change
Mechanism
Agents
Signature
Afferent constriction
NSAIDs, CNI, vasopressors, contrast
FeNa <1%, reversible
Efferent dilation
ACEi, ARB
Cr rise <30% is expected
Tubular toxicity
Aminoglycosides, vancomycin, amphotericin
Non-oliguric, wasting, granular casts
Interstitial nephritis
PPI, β-lactams, quinolones
Sterile pyuria, WBC casts
Intratubular crystals
Methotrexate, acyclovir, sulfonamides
Crystalluria hours after a bolus
Osmotic nephropathy
Starch, dextran, mannitol
Vacuolated proximal tubules
Thrombotic microangiopathy
CNI/mTOR, gemcitabine, VEGF
Schistocytes, normal coagulation
ACORN · JAMA 2023
n = 2511; cefepime vs pip-tazo. AKI or death day 14: OR 0.95. The pip-tazo signal is secretion interference.
Koyner Ch 5 (Table 5.4), Ch 8 · Qian ET et al. JAMA. 2023;330:1557 (ACORN) · Ronco Ch 39
Organ crosstalk — when the kidney is the messenger
Cardiorenal syndrome (Ronco types 1–5)
Congestion, not low output, drives type-1 AKI
CVP tracks worsening renal function better than cardiac index
Decongestion is the therapy — a Cr rise during effective diuresis is not injury
Hepatorenal syndrome — AKI (HRS-AKI)
ICA 2019: diagnose by KDIGO criteria — the fixed Cr ≥2.5 threshold is gone
No response to albumin 1 g/kg/day × 2 d + diuretic withdrawal
Not purely functional — inflammation causes structural injury
CONFIRM · NEJM 2021
n = 300 HRS-1; terlipressin + albumin. Reversal 32% vs 17% — but more respiratory failure and no survival benefit.
Ronco C et al. J Am Coll Cardiol. 2008;52:1527 · Mullens W et al. J Am Coll Cardiol. 2009;53:589 · Angeli P et al. J Hepatol. 2019;71:811 (ICA) · Wong F et al. N Engl J Med. 2021;384:818 · Koyner Ch 40, 42 · Ronco Ch 44, 45
04
The first 24 hours of the consult
A reproducible sequence — exposure history, the bedside, the sediment, the chemistries, the probe — and an explicit decision about biopsy.
Koyner Ch 5, 18 · Ronco Ch 31, 33, 55
A consult checklist that never fails
History & exposure
Volume losses — quantify, don't characterise
Hypotension: read the flowsheet. Minutes below MAP 55 predict AKI dose-dependently
Contrast timing, surgery, bypass and cross-clamp times, ECMO
Full reconciliation: NSAIDs, RASi, SGLT2i, herbal
Baseline function — ask, then verify a real lab value
Exam & bedside data
Perfusion pressure, not MAP: MAP − CVP, or − IAP
JVP, oedema, capillary refill, mottling
IAP in every distended patient — ≥12 is IAH, ≥20 with organ failure is ACS
Bladder scan and catheter flush — the only reversible cause
Skin, eyes, joints — the systemic-disease survey
Koyner Ch 5, 43 · Walsh M et al. Anesthesiology. 2013;119:507 · Kirkpatrick AW et al. Intensive Care Med. 2013;39:1190 (WSACS) · KDIGO 2012 §2
Urine microscopy — the cheapest biopsy, with real numbers
Muddy-brown granular casts + RTEC → ATN. Cast score ≥2: OR 74 — one of the largest bedside likelihood shifts
Their absence in suspected prerenal: NPV 91% — reassuring only at low pretest probability
Will I start immunosuppression tonight if the biopsy shows what I suspect? If no, wait.
Koyner Ch 5, 16 · Ronco Ch 31 · Corapi KM et al. Am J Kidney Dis. 2012;60:62
05
Cases, special hosts & pitfalls
Same criteria, completely different differential — and the two cognitive errors that account for most missed diagnoses on the consult service.
Koyner Ch 38–39 · Ronco Ch 40, 42
Case · 68 M, septic shock from a urinary source, ICU day 2
Norepinephrine 0.4 µg/kg/min plus vasopressin 0.03 U/min. Receiving piperacillin-tazobactam and vancomycin (trough-dosed, no AUC). Abdomen distended and tense; 6.8 L positive since admission. Long-standing hypertension on an ARB, held on admission.
Bypass duration and re-exploration are the strongest predictors
Works: delay elective surgery after contrast, avoid intraoperative hypotension, KDIGO bundle. Doesn't: dopamine, mannitol, fenoldopam
Obstetric AKI
Pregnancy creatinine is low (0.4–0.8) — a "normal" 1.0 is already substantial AKI
Preeclampsia/HELLP commonest, then haemorrhage and sepsis
TTP antepartum, complement HUS postpartum — HELLP is the great mimic
Delivery is often definitive. Magnesium is renally cleared — reduce and follow levels
Koyner Ch 38, 39 · Thakar CV et al. J Am Soc Nephrol. 2005;16:162 · Meersch M et al. Intensive Care Med. 2017;43:1551 · Fakhouri F et al. Clin J Am Soc Nephrol. 2012;7:2100–2106 · Ronco Ch 40, 42
Two errors that cost kidneys
Pitfall 1 — premature closure on "ATN"
"ATN" is the default because it is usually right — exactly what makes it dangerous. GN, TMA, interstitial nephritis and obstruction all have time-critical therapy. Before the word goes in the note: sediment yourself, platelets/LDH/haptoglobin/smear, every drug in 14 days, bladder imaged.
Pitfall 2 — trusting derived ratios in the wrong host
Every ratio has a numerator and a denominator; critical illness moves both. Liver disease and malnutrition lower BUN (false "intrinsic"); GI bleeding, steroids, catabolism raise it (false "prerenal"). Sarcopenia and sepsis flatten Cr generation; transport blockers raise it. Interpret indices in the direction the host is already biased.
74 M, day 6 of ceftriaxone for pneumonia and day 3 of a newly started PPI. Cr 1.0 → 3.1 mg/dL. Urine output preserved at 1.1 mL/kg/h, bladder scan 30 mL, BP 145/85, afebrile since day 2. Maculopapular rash on both shins. WBC 12 ×10⁹/L with 6% eosinophils. Urine: sterile pyuria, WBC casts, protein 0.8 g/g, no dysmorphic RBCs. FeNa 0.7%. Renal ultrasound normal, RI 0.79.
A. Prerenal — the FeNa is 0.7% · B. Acute interstitial nephritis · C. Ischaemic ATN — the RI is 0.79 · D. Post-infectious glomerulonephritis
Hands up — then name the single finding that excludes each wrong answer